Politics · TrumpTrump 538 Approval Binary
Question
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.2 on October 16, 2026?
Live
Yes
74.0 % chance
No
26.0 % chance
$121.95
4
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 22:09 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 17, 2026 03:59 UTC
Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 74.0 %chance
- Yes 74.0¢ · No 26.0¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
27.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
74.0¢
Yes price now
46.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
2
Top holders
- cl…y1Yes414.6
- Ar…lyNo200
- A…VNo78.6
- gf…ddNo40
- b…aNo20
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…