Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Live · starts Nov 3 17:00 UTC
Yes
8.3 % chance
No
91.7 % chance
$1.3K
19
Trading opened Jun 25, 2026 17:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 8.3 %chance
- Yes 8.3¢ · No 91.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.3¢
Yes price now
2.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
17
Top holders
- ba…arNo607.2
- co…ceNo575.3
- Lu…ysNo419
- la…vaYes1,261
- T…aNo406.5
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