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Weather · WarsawWarsaw Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 10?

Live · started 22:00 UTC

Yes
32.5 % chance
No
67.5 % chance
$1.3K
55

Trading opened Oct 8, 2026 04:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 10, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 10? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 32.5 %chance
  • Yes 32.5¢ · No 67.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

40.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
32.5¢
Yes price now
8.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
84
Smart money
35

Top holders

  • he…67Yes600
  • ro…09No332.2
  • Me…ldYes403.2
  • AnonymousYes425.9
  • Lu…ysNo177.1

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 10? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank