Politics · US electionsIran
Question
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 2027?
Live
Yes
1.7 % chance
No
98.3 % chance
$2.9K
32
Trading opened Nov 2, 2026 01:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.7 %chance
- Yes 1.7¢ · No 98.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.7¢
Yes price now
2.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
68
Smart money
28
Top holders
- Bi…ggNo1,121
- Po…leYes3,197
- Lu…ysNo453.1
- Ju…reNo386.5
- au…mmNo382.2
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