Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?
Live
Yes
5.4 % chance
No
94.6 % chance
$324.32
12
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 5.4 %chance
- Yes 5.4¢ · No 94.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.4¢
Yes price now
1.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
11
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo160.3
- ka…78No70
- A…VYes191.3
- P…3No50
- do…meNo48.5
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