Politics · US electionsMidtermsDemocratic Senate Odds
Question
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on November 2?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$315.17
8
Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 22:25 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 2, 2026 17:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
3.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
5
Top holders
- gr…19No125
- Lu…ysNo112.5
- UN…reNo85.8
- xt…meYes176.2
- mu…erNo40
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