World · Global elections
Question
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Live
Yes
3.3 % chance
No
96.7 % chance
$102.43
7
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.3 %chance
- Yes 3.3¢ · No 96.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.3¢
Yes price now
0.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
5
Top holders
- ar…icNo521.7
- b…2No500
- ba…arYes1,249
- Mr…llNo204.5
- Lu…ysNo65
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