Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Live · starts Nov 3 17:00 UTC
Yes
3.4 % chance
No
96.6 % chance
$1.2K
23
Trading opened Jun 25, 2026 17:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.4 %chance
- Yes 3.4¢ · No 96.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.4¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
22
Top holders
- do…meNo915.7
- Lu…ysNo480.3
- Ga…deNo485.6
- go…26No282
- gr…19No231.6
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