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Politics · US electionsTrump

Question

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live

Yes
16.5 % chance
No
83.5 % chance
$1.3K
18

Trading opened Oct 23, 2026 15:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 17:00 UTC

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets) → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 16.5 %chance
  • Yes 16.5¢ · No 83.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

14.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
16.5¢
Yes price now
2.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
26
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • an…noNo748.6
  • An…meNo573
  • Gr…onYes847.4
  • Da…ogYes950.9
  • n…1No358.1

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Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank