Tech · Big Techhumanoid
Question
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
3.5 % chance
No
96.5 % chance
$464.69
7
Trading opened Jan 22, 2026 21:19 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.5 %chance
- Yes 3.5¢ · No 96.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
12.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.5¢
Yes price now
8.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
11
Smart money
5
Top holders
- Tr…agNo3,126
- d…dNo2,681
- Du…atYes1,885
- Be…erNo442
- d…aYes1,000
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