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Question

France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?

Live

Yes
3.4 % chance
No
96.6 % chance
$5.6K
28

Trading opened Oct 18, 2026 14:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 04:59 UTC

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...? → all 3 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.4 %chance
  • Yes 3.4¢ · No 96.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

Yes price now 3.4¢ · holder entry warming up.

24h fills
47
Smart money
19

Top holders

  • QM…RENo1,988
  • D…KNo1,959
  • ED…99No1,111
  • li…erNo729.4
  • Di…oyNo386.2

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France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank