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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?

Live

Yes
95.7 % chance
No
4.3 % chance
$2.7K
37

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 05:55 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

AZ-08 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 95.7 %chance
  • Yes 95.7¢ · No 4.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

78.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
95.7¢
Yes price now
17.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
120
Smart money
32

Top holders

  • Ga…maYes963.2
  • Pr…ieYes884.9
  • Ma…stYes442
  • We…ldYes260
  • De…alYes204

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Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank