World · Global elections
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$1.1K
15
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 19:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
45
Smart money
14
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo550.4
- mi…ktNo99.4
- Ad…stNo93
- do…meNo88.5
- Li…ueNo86
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