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World · Global elections

Question

Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%?

Live

Yes
3.0 % chance
No
97.0 % chance
$1.5K
39

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 17:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 2, 2026 04:59 UTC

Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.0 %chance
  • Yes 3.0¢ · No 97.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.8¢
Yes price now
5.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
86
Smart money
29

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo305.8
  • AnonymousYes400.9
  • me…48No269.3
  • Lu…ysNo258.6
  • go…26No97.2

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Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank