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WorldBolsonaro Vote Share?

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Live

Yes
4.3 % chance
No
95.7 % chance
$843.82
26

Trading opened Sep 28, 2026 15:17 UTC · Scheduled close Oct 5, 2026 02:59 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? (Higher Strikes) → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • Yes4.3¢
  • No95.7¢
  • 1D: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

11.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.3¢
Yes price now
6.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
34
Smart money
21

Top holders

  • Va…erYes2,026
  • Sh…emNo580.3
  • Ha…thNo583.2
  • Ha…erNo446.9
  • Ra…erNo417.6

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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank