Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?
Live
Yes
93.5 % chance
No
6.5 % chance
$4.9K
18
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 16:23 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 93.5 %chance
- Yes 93.5¢ · No 6.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
85.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
93.0¢
Yes price now
7.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
22
Smart money
17
Top holders
- ni…edYes4,991
- Ga…ptYes831.4
- mo…wdYes800
- 7…5No2,000
- He…isYes430.8
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