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Weather · Hurricanes

Question

Will Isaias peak at Category 5?

Live

Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$179.17
13

Trading opened Oct 7, 2026 13:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 21, 2026 03:59 UTC

How strong will Isaias be? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.4 %chance
  • Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
0.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
23
Smart money
12

Top holders

  • e…3No146.3
  • Lu…ysNo80.7
  • Be…shNo53
  • Ro…ceNo50
  • C…MNo47

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Will Isaias peak at Category 5? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank