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Weather · New York CityNYC Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on October 15?

Live · starts Oct 15 04:00 UTC

Yes
0.2 % chance
No
99.8 % chance
$156.01
21

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 07:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in NYC on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.2 %chance
  • Yes 0.2¢ · No 99.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.2¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
28
Smart money
19

Top holders

  • qu…elNo95
  • 1D…TDNo50
  • Wa…tsNo40.1
  • Fr…ysNo35.8
  • Ju…reNo20

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Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank