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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%?

Live

Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$1.5K
21

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.9 %chance
  • Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
43
Smart money
19

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo359.6
  • ba…arNo216
  • e…3No211.4
  • do…meNo154.7
  • AnonymousNo147.6

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank