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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live · starts 17:00 UTC

Yes
5.5 % chance
No
94.5 % chance
$12.8K
56

Trading opened Dec 19, 2025 02:05 UTC

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.5 %chance
  • Yes 5.5¢ · No 94.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.5¢
Yes price now
5.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
91
Smart money
36

Top holders

  • co…atNo19,353
  • Ca…57Yes40,922
  • Li…eeYes32,596
  • ma…ksNo10,000
  • Ga…maNo8,663

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Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank