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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?

Live

Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$720.58
24

Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 18:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.3 %chance
  • Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

12.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
12.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
39
Smart money
21

Top holders

  • ba…arNo699.6
  • co…coNo305.7
  • Tr…tyYes1,000
  • au…emYes800
  • Pr…ieNo199

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank