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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?

Live

Yes
67.0 % chance
No
33.0 % chance
$3.5K
46

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 67.0 %chance
  • Yes 67.0¢ · No 33.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

30.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
66.0¢
Yes price now
36.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
142
Smart money
41

Top holders

  • Pr…ieNo941.8
  • An…meNo930.5
  • Jo…92Yes1,005
  • Lo…shYes1,337
  • YL…ERYes730.4

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank