Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?
Live
Yes
90.5 % chance
No
9.5 % chance
$8.6K
46
Trading opened Jul 24, 2026 19:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 90.5 %chance
- Yes 90.5¢ · No 9.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
47.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
90.5¢
Yes price now
42.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
100
Smart money
32
Top holders
- Du…MFYes37,152
- Kr…erNo17,835
- Tr…laNo5,980
- co…lsNo5,052
- Im…rmYes4,829
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