Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
16.5 % chance
No
83.5 % chance
$4.2K
27
Trading opened Aug 25, 2026 00:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 16.5 %chance
- Yes 16.5¢ · No 83.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
16.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
16.5¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
38
Smart money
19
Top holders
- Kr…erNo7,353
- Gl…s7No5,271
- Co…erNo5,252
- Ga…ioNo5,040
- Du…MFYes7,391
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