Politics · TrumpTrump 538 Approval Binary
Question
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 36.8 on October 16, 2026?
Live
Yes
99.1 % chance
No
0.9 % chance
$847.40
16
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 22:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 17, 2026 03:59 UTC
Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 99.1 %chance
- Yes 99.1¢ · No 0.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
93.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
99.1¢
Yes price now
5.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
13
Top holders
- p…zYes330
- jo…joYes203
- sp…stYes132.1
- A…VNo135
- Vi…otNo236.1
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