Politics · US electionsArkansas Midterm
Question
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
Live
Yes
4.9 % chance
No
95.1 % chance
$8.4K
32
Trading opened Oct 13, 2025 22:38 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.9 %chance
- Yes 4.9¢ · No 95.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.9¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
75
Smart money
27
Top holders
- An…meNo12,935
- la…inYes20,000
- do…meNo2,334
- gm…mgNo1,461
- Hy…ngNo1,334
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