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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat?

Live

Yes
3.5 % chance
No
96.5 % chance
$4.9K
54

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 05:55 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

AZ-05 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.5 %chance
  • Yes 3.5¢ · No 96.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

26.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.5¢
Yes price now
23.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
244
Smart money
41

Top holders

  • Pr…ieYes3,517
  • me…nmNo2,527
  • ci…esYes1,372
  • e…3No1,240
  • xt…meNo448.4

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Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank