World · Global elections
Question
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
Live
Yes
22.5 % chance
No
77.5 % chance
$927.11
15
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 22.5 %chance
- Yes 22.5¢ · No 77.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
26.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
22.5¢
Yes price now
3.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
20
Smart money
11
Top holders
- ba…arNo1,503
- sc…oiYes1,292
- Te…88Yes620
- me…48No299.1
- th…inYes402.1
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