Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Live · starts Nov 3 17:00 UTC
Yes
9.4 % chance
No
90.6 % chance
$1.2K
39
Trading opened Jun 25, 2026 17:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 9.4 %chance
- Yes 9.4¢ · No 90.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
11.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
9.4¢
Yes price now
1.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
57
Smart money
37
Top holders
- Ga…deNo643.1
- ia…yiYes1,121
- Lu…ysNo346.4
- do…meNo334.1
- ba…arNo314.8
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