Smart-Money Report — Week 23, 2026
June 1 – June 7, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$733.9M
Volume traded
15,791,950
Fills
263,566
Active wallets
72,133
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- Po…it+$175.7K profit
Knicks vs. Spurs — banked $466.4K on YES
- Ar…ly+$92.5K profit
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? — banked $734.6K on NO
- 0xf7…a7+$48.0K profit
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5? — banked $76.1K on NO
- Lo…n.+$42.5K profit
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? — banked $65.0K on NO
- Ar…ly+$26.4K profit
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? — banked $140.0K on NO
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
Rank-change tracking starts with the next report — this is the baseline week.
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the profitable-calibrators board this week — 190,059 trades, $43.0K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Skilled money vs the crowd
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?
skilled cohort 1% YES vs market 100% · 23 skilled positioners
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?
skilled cohort 10% YES vs market 100% · 30 skilled positioners
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 11?
skilled cohort 12% YES vs market 100% · 39 skilled positioners
Divergence measured at publication time. Not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QQ…AN | 96.7 | $4.9K | $472.2K |
| 2 | C…1 | 95.7 | $32.7K | $262.1K |
| 3 | lo…oo | 95.4 | $18.3K | $458.6K |
| 4 | Ch…rp | 95.0 | $8.5K | $158.1K |
| 5 | Pr…io | 94.9 | $9.9K | $1.5M |
| 6 | Oo…ey | 94.5 | $43.0K | $561.1K |
| 7 | tr…64 | 94.4 | $7.0K | $61.9K |
| 8 | Bi…op | 94.4 | $47.4K | $353.7K |
| 9 | la…an | 94.4 | $15.0K | $108.9K |
| 10 | ti…55 | 94.2 | $5.4K | $149.1K |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.