Smart-Money Report — Week 25, 2026
June 15 – June 21, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$1163.9M
Volume traded
16,728,550
Fills
302,017
Active wallets
94,046
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- Po…it+$73.9K profit
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? — banked $223.9K on YES
- 0x36…fe+$73.0K profit
Spread: Spain (-1.5) — banked $104.3K on NO
- Po…it+$72.4K profit
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? — banked $172.4K on YES
- Po…it+$50.0K profit
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? — banked $125.0K on YES
- 0x36…fe+$48.8K profit
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) — banked $95.0K on NO
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the profitable-calibrators board this week — 2,097 trades, $3.0K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Skilled money vs the crowd
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
skilled cohort 3% YES vs market 100% · 2 skilled positioners
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?
skilled cohort 92% YES vs market 9% · 2 skilled positioners
- Will "Clutch" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters London 2026 Grand Finals?
skilled cohort 24% YES vs market 100% · 2 skilled positioners
Divergence measured at publication time. Not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0…3 | 99.5 | $262.0K | $141.0M |
| 2 | h…3 | 99.3 | $3.0K | $904.2K |
| 3 | j…8 | 99.3 | $3.2K | $1.9M |
| 4 | s…7 | 99.2 | $566 | $474.8K |
| 5 | O…x | 99.1 | $5.9K | $4.1M |
| 6 | n…y | 99.1 | $4.6K | $4.3M |
| 7 | E…p | 98.9 | $2.2K | $524.4K |
| 8 | b…y | 98.9 | $1.1K | $207.1K |
| 9 | h…d | 98.8 | $889 | $864.3K |
| 10 | f…b | 98.6 | $430 | $399.4K |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.