Smart-Money Report — Week 31, 2026
July 27 – August 2, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$539.9M
Volume traded
12,027,296
Fills
152,587
Active wallets
141,762
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- Po…it+$17.6K profit
Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty — banked $47.9K on NO
- sp…rs+$12.2K profit
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins — banked $20.0K on NO
- d…m+$8.9K profit
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26? — banked $16.2K on NO
- d…m+$7.2K profit
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-07-30? — banked $12.0K on YES
- Si…s-+$6.4K profit
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 Winner — banked $8.8K on NO
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
- Or…xxnew at #25
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the profitable-calibrators board this week — 30,042 trades, $279.9K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Skilled money vs the crowd
- Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?
skilled cohort 1% YES vs market 99% · 8 skilled positioners
- Will Kate Fahey win the 2026 Major League Pickleball MVP award?
skilled cohort 92% YES vs market 5% · 4 skilled positioners
- Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?
skilled cohort 98% YES vs market 13% · 6 skilled positioners
Divergence measured at publication time. Not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hu…ly | 99.8 | $68.6K | $1.9M |
| 2 | 0x32…79 | 99.8 | $38.5K | $1.8M |
| 3 | c…s | 99.7 | $14.4K | $1.2M |
| 4 | Lu…ow | 99.7 | $314.6K | $13.6M |
| 5 | Hi…on | 99.7 | $59.0K | $1.1M |
| 6 | Pu…ol | 99.6 | $6.9K | $261.0K |
| 7 | We…en | 99.5 | $42.6K | $1.5M |
| 8 | sy…ey | 99.5 | $13.1K | $109.5K |
| 9 | Ve…ix | 99.5 | $5.4K | $913.8K |
| 10 | kt…03 | 99.4 | $18.0K | $682.8K |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.