Smart-Money Report — Week 37, 2026
September 7 – September 13, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$539.0M
Volume traded
10,131,099
Fills
113,656
Active wallets
447,275
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- el…co+$73.0K profit
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — banked $90.1K on YES
- 0x…d7+$49.8K profit
Counter-Strike: 9z vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A — banked $84.8K on NO
- Co…er+$26.0K profit
FC Zurich vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5 — banked $50.0K on NO
- el…co+$22.2K profit
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs — banked $60.0K on YES
- 0xf7…a7+$20.3K profit
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? — banked $30.0K on NO
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the profitable-calibrators board this week — 19,280 trades, $24.5K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Where the skilled cohort bought
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 14?
skilled cohort paid 8% for YES vs market 100% now · 173 holders
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?
skilled cohort paid 9% for YES vs market 100% now · 150 holders
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 14?
skilled cohort paid 10% for YES vs market 100% now · 155 holders
Holder entry prices measured at publication time. Not a forecast, not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Du…MF | 94.3 | $285.9K | $14.5M |
| 2 | n…s | 94.3 | $5.4K | $1.7M |
| 3 | Ne…ot | 94.2 | $25.0K | $9.8M |
| 4 | X-…zu | 93.9 | $32.7K | $1.1M |
| 5 | D…a | 93.8 | $37.2K | $708.8K |
| 6 | Je…55 | 93.8 | $158.5K | $3.9M |
| 7 | Sp…um | 93.7 | $11.3K | $819.0K |
| 8 | 5…a | 93.5 | $5.8K | $1.4M |
| 9 | MA…26 | 93.5 | $3.3K | $492.2K |
| 10 | hy…rE | 93.5 | $2.0K | $131.6K |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.