Smart-Money Report — Week 44, 2026
October 26 – November 1, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$702.0M
Volume traded
9,897,044
Fills
123,419
Active wallets
676,057
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- ti…44+$133.2K profit
4-pick combo: Wizards vs. Cavaliers (Cavaliers) · 76ers vs. Pacers (76ers) · Spurs vs. Jazz (Spurs) · Knicks vs. Bulls (Knicks) — banked $193.9K on YES
- Pr…ce+$122.4K profit
3-pick combo: Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-31? (Yes) · Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? (Yes) · Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-31? (Yes) — banked $136.8K on YES
- bi…er+$109.4K profit
2-pick combo: Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) (Tottenham Hotspur FC) · Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-31? (Yes) — banked $142.0K on YES
- Pr…ce+$95.3K profit
3-pick combo: Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01? (Yes) · Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? (Yes) · Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? (Yes) — banked $129.1K on YES
- Su…nt+$93.3K profit
4-pick combo: Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01? (Yes) · Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? (Yes) · Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01? (Yes) · Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? (Yes) — banked $102.9K on YES
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the calibration board this week — 9,129 trades, $171.9K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Where the skilled cohort bought
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 2?
skilled cohort paid 2% for YES vs market 100% now · 43 holders
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on November 2?
skilled cohort paid 2% for YES vs market 97% now · 50 holders
- W15 Neuquén: Luna Morini vs Abril Pajello
skilled cohort paid 6% for YES vs market 93% now · 2 holders
Holder entry prices measured at publication time. Not a forecast, not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fe…er | 99.0 | $112.1K | $2.8M |
| 2 | Da…od | 98.2 | $54.7K | $2.1M |
| 3 | ar…ic | 98.1 | $203.9K | $20.1M |
| 4 | Ba…io | 98.1 | $266.9K | $8.4M |
| 5 | Fl…ok | 97.9 | $68.4K | $5.9M |
| 6 | Co…la | 97.8 | $23.6K | $3.5M |
| 7 | 0xAE…03 | 97.7 | $92.1K | $3.4M |
| 8 | mo…gl | 97.2 | $30.2K | $1.3M |
| 9 | rx…er | 97.0 | $7.4K | $378.6K |
| 10 | Ka…m1 | 97.0 | $14.5K | $893.3K |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.