2026 Midterms: House Turnout
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $6.1K
- $30.2K
- 56
- $15.3K
- $101.1K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 120-125m89.0%
- 115-120m10.5%
- 125-130m0.9%
- 130m+0.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 open · 1 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 89.0 %
120-125m
$846.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢ - 10.5 %
115-120m
$1.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢ - < 1 %
125-130m
$130.97 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢ - < 1 %
130m+
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
110-115m
$770.46 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
90-95m
$544.70 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
100-105m
$339.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
105-110m
$310.59 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
95-100m
$181.57 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
85-90m
$137.85 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
1 more that never traded
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 11 open · 1 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 218
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 18,953 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This event has 12 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It has been eligible for resolution since Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 7, 2026 07:35 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.