CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
Live
- $12.9K
- $32.9K
- 72
- $19.0K
- $54.1K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 2 questions with the highest chance now.
- Doris Matsui76.5%
- Mai Vang23.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
2 open · 4 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 2 open · 4 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 360
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 27,683 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This event has 6 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 3, 2026 21:42 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.