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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?

Live · started 17:00 UTC

Yes
23.0 % chance
No
77.0 % chance
$1.9K
18

Trading opened Jul 6, 2026 22:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 23.0 %chance
  • Yes 23.0¢ · No 77.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

37.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
23.0¢
Yes price now
14.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
90
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • Sn…r7Yes4,737
  • ma…ksNo2,637
  • AnonymousNo1,839
  • me…nmYes1,645
  • Pr…ieYes1,191

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Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank