Elon Musk # tweets December 30 - January 6, 2026?
Settled
- $7.63M
- Jan 6, 2026
- 38
- —
- —
Questions in this event
38 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- Settled Yes
520-539
- Settled No
<20
- Settled No
20-39
- Settled No
40-59
- Settled No
60-79
- Settled No
80-99
- Settled No
100-119
- Settled No
120-139
- Settled No
140-159
- Settled No
160-179
- Settled No
180-199
- Settled No
200-219
- Settled No
220-239
- Settled No
240-259
- Settled No
260-279
- Settled No
280-299
- Settled No
300-319
- Settled No
320-339
- Settled No
340-359
- Settled No
360-379
- Settled No
380-399
- Settled No
400-419
- Settled No
420-439
- Settled No
440-459
- Settled No
460-479
- Settled No
480-499
- Settled No
500-519
- Settled No
540-559
- Settled No
560-579
- Settled No
580-599
- Settled No
600-619
- Settled No
620-639
- Settled No
640-659
- Settled No
660-679
- Settled No
680-699
- Settled No
700-719
- Settled No
720-739
- Settled No
740+
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Tweet counts
- Series
- Elon Tweets · weekly
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter v3
- Questions
- 38 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 0
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 30 12:00 PM ET to January 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This event has 38 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
38 of the 38 have settled; 520-539 settled Yes.
The result is checked against x.com. Open the source
Volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.