"FRESH" First Week Album Sales?
Live
- $5.1K
- $12.6K
- 34
- $7.9K
- $1.3K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 60k+47.5%
- 100k+35.0%
- 140k+32.0%
- 80k+31.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Music
- Series
- First Week Album Sales
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 6 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 69
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 8,387 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
"FRESH" (Lil Baby / Quality Control, Motown) is expected to release November 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "FRESH", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the album has not been released by December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This event has 6 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Nov 13, 2026 00:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 8, 2026 13:57 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.