Guerrero Congress Election Winner
Live
- $5.3K
- $7.5K
- 7
- $4.9K
- $82.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Morena93.5%
- PRI3.0%
- MC2.5%
- PVEM2.4%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 open · 31 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 93.5 %
Morena
$5.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢ - 3.0 %
PRI
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢ - 2.5 %
MC
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢ - 2.4 %
PVEM
Yes 2.4¢No 97.6¢ - 1.9 %
PT
Yes 1.9¢No 98.1¢ - 1.5 %
PAN
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢
31 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Party A
- No quote now
Party AA
- No quote now
Party AB
- No quote now
Party AC
- No quote now
Party AD
- No quote now
Party B
- No quote now
Party C
- No quote now
Party D
- No quote now
Party E
- No quote now
Party F
- No quote now
Party G
- No quote now
Party H
- No quote now
Party I
- No quote now
Party J
- No quote now
Party K
- No quote now
Party L
- No quote now
Party M
- No quote now
Party N
- No quote now
Party O
- No quote now
Party P
- No quote now
Party Q
- No quote now
Party R
- No quote now
Party S
- No quote now
Party T
- No quote now
Party U
- No quote now
Party V
- No quote now
Party W
- No quote now
Party X
- No quote now
Party Y
- No quote now
Party Z
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 6 open · 31 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 9
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 5,999 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Legislative elections to elect the 46 members of the Congress of the State of Guerrero are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Guerrero as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana del Estado de Guerrero. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana del Estado de Guerrero, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana del Estado de Guerrero (https://www.iepcgro.mx/).
This event has 37 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jun 7, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2026 00:39 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.