Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?
Live
- $7.5K
- $7.5K
- 90
- $8.1K
- $12.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- November 1467.0%
- November 1234.5%
- November 1018.0%
- November 96.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 67.0 %
November 14
$809.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 67.0¢No 33.0¢ - 34.5 %
November 12
$881.36 traded, 24 h
Yes 34.5¢No 65.5¢ - 18.0 %
November 10
$2.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 18.0¢No 82.0¢ - 6.5 %
November 9
$2.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - 1.1 %
November 8
$369.82 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - < 1 %
November 7
$225.72 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Gaming
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 6 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 259
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 17,891 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Kai Cenat is scheduled to begin a Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, with the stated goal of playing Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Grand Theft Auto IV, and Grand Theft Auto V on stream. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Playing or completing any individual game, pauses in the livestream, or temporary breaks from gameplay will have no bearing on this market. If Kai Cenat permanently moves on from the Grand Theft Auto marathon to other activities, the marathon will be considered over at that time, even if his livestream continues uninterrupted. Only events occurring while Kai Cenat is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the marathon is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from Kai Cenat's official broadcast on YouTube and Twitch.
This event has 6 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against twitch.tv. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 15, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2026 03:46 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.