Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $3.6K
- $6.98M
- 26
- $1.52M
- $290.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 2 questions with the highest chance now.
- Nithya Raman51.9%
- Karen Bass48.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
2 open · 9 settled · 4 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter v3
- Questions
- 2 open · 9 settled · 4 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 33
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 7,052 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
This event has 15 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
9 of the 15 have already settled No.
It has been eligible for resolution since Jun 3, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 12, 2026 11:46 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.