Politics · US electionsLA
Question
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Live
Yes
41.5 % chance
No
58.5 % chance
$15.7K
31
Trading opened Oct 9, 2025 20:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jun 3, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 41.5 %chance
- Yes 41.5¢ · No 58.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
58.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
41.5¢
Yes price now
17.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
44
Smart money
17
Top holders
- lo…anYes137,867
- an…23Yes84,066
- Sc…ooNo80,983
- mw…yaYes79,893
- wa…23Yes74,653
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