Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?
Live
- $28.7K
- $28.7K
- 76
- $13.4K
- $92.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- March 31, 202720.5%
- December 31, 202617.5%
- November 30, 20267.0%
- November 15, 20263.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 20.5 %
March 31, 2027
$3.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢ - 17.5 %
December 31, 2026
$8.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢ - 7.0 %
November 30, 2026
$6.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 3.5 %
November 15, 2026
$5.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 2.9 %
November 8, 2026
$4.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.9¢No 97.1¢ - 1.1 %
November 6, 2026
$1.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Geopolitics
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 6 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 163
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 19,193 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 6 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 5, 2026 22:31 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.