MLB: NL Manager of the Year
Live
- $19.1K
- $157.9K
- 6
- $41.6K
- $156.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Pat Murphy99.0%
- Walt Weiss0.3%
- Don Mattingly0.1%
- Andy Green0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
17 open · 4 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 99.0 %
Pat Murphy
$0.04 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢ - < 1 %
Walt Weiss
$29.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Don Mattingly
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Rob Thomson
$16.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Carlos Mendoza
$2.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Craig Stammen
$10.01 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Andy Green
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Blake Butera
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Clayton McCullough
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Craig Counsell
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
4 more that never traded
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · Baseball
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 3% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 17 open · 4 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 24
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 19,470 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 21 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 7, 2026 22:08 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.