NASCAR Cup Series: 2026 Champion
Live
- $6.9K
- $49.5K
- 115
- $13.3K
- $11.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 3 questions with the highest chance now.
- Kyle Larson100.0%
- Christopher Bell0.1%
- Denny Hamlin0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
3 open · 33 settled · 21 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
Kyle Larson
$3.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - < 1 %
Denny Hamlin
$2.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Christopher Bell
$1.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
21 more that never traded
- No quote now
Driver A
- No quote now
Driver B
- No quote now
Driver C
- No quote now
Driver D
- No quote now
Driver E
- No quote now
Driver F
- No quote now
Driver G
- No quote now
Driver H
- No quote now
Driver I
- No quote now
Driver J
- No quote now
Driver K
- No quote now
Driver L
- No quote now
Driver M
- No quote now
Driver N
- No quote now
Driver O
- No quote now
Driver P
- No quote now
Driver Q
- No quote now
Driver R
- No quote now
Driver S
- No quote now
Driver T
- No quote now
Other
33 settled
- Settled No
AJ Allmendinger
- Settled No
Alex Bowman
- Settled No
Austin Cindric
- Settled No
Austin Dillon
- Settled No
Brad Keselowski
- Settled No
Bubba Wallace
- Settled No
Carson Hocevar
- Settled No
Chase Briscoe
- Settled No
Chase Elliott
- Settled No
Chris Buescher
- Settled No
Cody Ware
- Settled No
Cole Custer
- Settled No
Connor Zilisch
- Settled No
Daniel Suarez
- Settled No
Erik Jones
- Settled No
Joey Logano
- Settled No
John Hunter Nemechek
- Settled No
Josh Berry
- Settled No
Kyle Busch
- Settled No
Michael McDowell
- Settled No
Noah Gragson
- Settled No
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
- Settled No
Riley Herbst
- Settled No
Ross Chastain
- Settled No
Ryan Blaney
- Settled No
Ryan Preece
- Settled No
Shane van Gisbergen
- Settled No
Todd Gilliland
- Settled No
Ty Dillon
- Settled No
Ty Gibbs
- Settled No
Tyler Reddick
- Settled No
William Byron
- Settled No
Zane Smith
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · Motorsport
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 3 open · 33 settled · 21 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 304
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 14,031 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by NASCAR to determine the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Championship based on the rules of NASCAR (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NASCAR.
This event has 57 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
33 of the 57 have already settled No.
It can settle from Nov 23, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 9, 2026 03:06 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.