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Politics · US electionsElections

New Jersey Governor Election Mikie Sherrill margin of victory?

Settled

$1.78M
Dec 4, 2025
6
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Questions in this event

6 settled

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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Event facts

Category
Politics · US elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
UMA CTF Adapter v3
Questions
6 settled
Fills, last 24 h
0
  1. Created
  2. First trade

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Mikie Sherrill in the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Sherrill’s certified statewide vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Mikie Sherrill does not receive the most votes statewide in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official certified statewide results as published by the New Jersey Division of Elections (New Jersey Department of State). If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This event has 6 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

6 of the 6 have settled; 12-15% settled Yes.

Volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.