Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Live
- $17.5K
- $50.3K
- 51
- $18.3K
- $230.5K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Chris Hipkins48.0%
- Christopher Luxon47.5%
- David Seymour2.3%
- Carmel Sepuloni0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
7 open · 27 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 48.0 %
Chris Hipkins
$1.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢ - 47.5 %
Christopher Luxon
$2.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢ - 2.3 %
David Seymour
$3.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢ - < 1 %
Carmel Sepuloni
$2.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Winston Peters
$2.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Chlöe Swarbrick
$2.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nicola Willis
$2.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
27 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Person A
- No quote now
Person B
- No quote now
Person C
- No quote now
Person D
- No quote now
Person E
- No quote now
Person F
- No quote now
Person G
- No quote now
Person H
- No quote now
Person I
- No quote now
Person J
- No quote now
Person K
- No quote now
Person L
- No quote now
Person M
- No quote now
Person N
- No quote now
Person O
- No quote now
Person P
- No quote now
Person Q
- No quote now
Person R
- No quote now
Person S
- No quote now
Person T
- No quote now
Person U
- No quote now
Person V
- No quote now
Person W
- No quote now
Person X
- No quote now
Person Y
- No quote now
Person Z
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 7 open · 27 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 172
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 22,863 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 34 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 29, 2026 04:30 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.