Politics · Global elections
Question
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Live · starts Nov 7 18:50 UTC
Yes
47.5 % chance
No
52.5 % chance
$2.6K
24
Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 47.5 %chance
- Yes 47.5¢ · No 52.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
47.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
47.5¢
Yes price now
0.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
38
Smart money
21
Top holders
- xn…icYes6,318
- Sn…erYes1,512
- Ja…thYes1,273
- ba…arNo1,005
- ma…ksNo944.7
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