Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Settled
- $18.49M
- 71
- $5.81M
- $6.81M
Questions in this event
71 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- Settled Yes
Other
$5.2K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Yulia Navalnaya
$573.2K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Donald Trump
$305.7K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
International Court of Justice
$105.1K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
$77.5K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Mykola Kuleba
$77.4K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
$35.2K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
International Criminal Court
$17.6K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$14.4K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Pope Leo XIV
$14.3K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
International Space Station
$10.3K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Jimmy Lai
$10.2K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Mark Carney
$10.0K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Save the Children
$8.9K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Ilham Tohti
$7.8K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Committee to Protect Journalists
$7.7K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
UNRWA
$6.0K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Sara Al-Saqqa
$5.4K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
World Central Kitchen
$3.7K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
$2.1K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Chow Hang-tung
$2.0K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Hussam Abu Safiya
$1.6K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Doctors Without Borders
$1.6K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
ICRC
$1.4K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Ahmed al-Sharaa
$1.0K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Julian Assange
$993.15 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
International Association of Judges
$710.29 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Parents Circle – Families Forum
$456.76 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
UNHCR
$423.53 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Reporters Without Borders
$423.49 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Greta Thunberg
$403.54 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
International Peace Research Association
$369.60 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
António Guterres
$109.56 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Benjamin Netanyahu
$38.86 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Charlie Kirk
$20.22 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Yad Vashem
$18.61 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Xi Jinping
$4.14 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Elon Musk
$4.05 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Khaled Mashal
$2.11 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Vladimir Putin
$2.00 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Mohammed bin Salman
- Settled No
Narendra Modi
- Settled No
Person AA
- Settled No
Person AB
- Settled No
Person AC
- Settled No
Person AD
- Settled No
Person AE
- Settled No
Person AF
- Settled No
Person AG
- Settled No
Person AH
- Settled No
Person AI
- Settled No
Person AJ
- Settled No
Person AK
- Settled No
Person AL
- Settled No
Person AM
- Settled No
Person AN
- Settled No
Person AO
- Settled No
Person AP
- Settled No
Person AQ
- Settled No
Person AR
- Settled No
Person AS
- Settled No
Person AT
- Settled No
Person AU
- Settled No
Person AV
- Settled No
Person AW
- Settled No
Person AX
- Settled No
Person W
- Settled No
Person X
- Settled No
Person Y
- Settled No
Person Z
- Settled No
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Awards
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter v3
- Questions
- 71 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 6,922
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 4,603,122 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This event has 71 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
71 of the 71 have settled; Other settled Yes.
Volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.